Extreme rainfall and its impacts in the Brazilian Minas Gerais state in January 2020: Can we blame climate change?

نویسندگان

چکیده

In January 2020, an extreme precipitation event occurred over southeast Brazil, with the epicentre in Minas Gerais state. Although rainfall frequently occurs this region during wet season, led to death of 56 people, drove thousands residents into homelessness, and incurred millions Brazilian Reais (BRL) financial loss through cascading effects flooding landslides. The main question that arises is: To what extent can we blame climate change? With mind, our aim was assess socioeconomic impacts whether how much it be attributed human-induced change. Our findings suggest change made >70% more likely occur. We estimate >90,000 people became temporarily homeless, at least BRL 1.3 billion (USD 240 million) lost public private sectors, which 41% This assessment brings new insights about necessity urgency taking action on change, because is already effectively impacting society Brazil region. Despite its dreadful society, magnitude assessed quite common (return period ∼4 years). calls for immediate improvements strategic planning focused mitigation adaptation. Public management policies must evolve from disaster response modus operandi order prevent future disasters.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Climate change. Can we detect trends in extreme tropical cyclones?

process may not have been so smooth as initially thought, and numerical simulations performed by Tsiganis et al. (4) show that the passage of Jupiter and Saturn through a 2:1 resonance may have ignited a period of strong chaotic evolution of Uranus and Neptune. In this scenario, the two planets had frequent close encounters and may even have exchanged orbits before their eccentricities finally ...

متن کامل

Impacts of climate change on extreme precipitation events in arid (Bandar Abbas) and semi-arid (Shahrekord) stations in Iran

The aim of this paper is to project extreme precipitation events in an arid and a semiarid station. In order to project climate change based on general circulation models (GCMs), we have applied LARS-WG[1] downscaling tool. This stochastic weather generator down-scaled the climate of two synoptic stations using HADCM3 model and A2 emission scenario for 2040. We extracted extreme precipitation e...

متن کامل

Probable rainfall contribution to coffee water demand in Uberlândia, Minas Gerais state, Brazil

PALAVRAS-CHAVE Irrigação Distribuição Gama Uso da água ABSTRACT: The occurrence, distribution of rainfall and the knowledge of crop water demand are essentials to irrigation planning. Thus, the determination of probable rainfall can contribute substantially to suitable irrigation projects. This work aimed to determine the probable rainfall for Uberlândia, Minas Gerais state, Brazil, in order to...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Climate resilience and sustainability

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2692-4587']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.15